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Trader leaderboard/watchmewhip

watchmewhip

0x551a79d6101081d721262a2605187674fc1686b9
PnL (30d)
−$668
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$347
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-12.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
47%
47W / 54L · 49 open
Win Return (30d)
50%
75W / 75L
Trades (30d)
150
across 33 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$35.17
avg win $31 · loss $282
Profit Factor
0.41
$458 won / $1,126 lost
Reward / Risk
0.11
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$255
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,000 · all-time $345,973

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 46.5% 47W/54L 33 $7,973
🏛 Politics 58.8% 10W/7L 5 $1,078
₿ Crypto 5 $228
💵 Economy 100.0% 4W/0L 4 $872
🎬 Culture 100.0% 6W/0L 3 $115
🤖 Tech 1 $48

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

22 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 4,000 0.790 $3,162.00 $1,162.00 +58.1%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 4,000 0.209 $838.00 $-1,162.00 -58.1%
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes 894 0.655 $585.84 $-28.16 -4.6%
Trump goes to space in 2026? No 500 0.984 $491.28 $10.24 +2.1%
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? No 413 0.955 $394.19 $8.19 +2.1%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No 364 0.981 $356.54 $6.11 +1.7%
Record crypto liquidation in 2026? No 290 0.925 $268.65 $46.08 +20.7%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? No 201 0.976 $195.60 $3.18 +1.7%
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? No 200 0.968 $193.60 $-1.90 -1.0%
Another crypto hack over $100m by September 30? Yes 176 0.789 $139.04 $13.24 +10.5%
Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31? Yes 105 0.772 $81.11 $10.22 +14.4%
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 25 Gwei before 2027? No 85 0.886 $75.30 $-0.94 -1.2%
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? No 73 0.955 $70.13 $2.90 +4.3%
Will Yeet launch a token by June 30, 2027? Yes 100 0.655 $65.50 $-0.50 -0.8%
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $600B and $700B on August 31? Yes 176 0.290 $51.10 $2.96 +6.2%
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by August 31, 2026? No 50 0.990 $49.48 $1.98 +4.2%
Zcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited? No 35 0.885 $30.98 $2.00 +6.9%
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No 23 0.962 $22.13 $0.51 +2.3%
Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31? Yes 100 0.220 $22.00 $-23.00 -51.1%
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $16.5B by August 31? Yes 20 0.470 $9.40 $2.40 +34.3%
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 15 Gwei before 2027? No 8 0.885 $7.21 $0.45 +6.6%
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 40 Gwei before 2027? No 1 0.945 $1.22 $0.06 +4.9%