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Trader leaderboard/pup1

pup1

0x54b56146656e7eef9da02b3a030c18e06e924b31
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$500
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
100%
2W / 0L
Trades (30d)
2
across 1 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
no settled positions
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $346,887 · all-time $54,449,936

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 58.0% 5,422W/3,930L 156 $2,574,026
🏛 Politics 24.6% 97W/297L 25 $332,670
💵 Economy 27.0% 97W/262L 13 $270,168
🎬 Culture 2 $780
⚽ Sports 1 $972
🌤 Weather 1 $540
🔬 Science 1 $540

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

30 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 40,517 0.515 $20,866.29 $6,812.99 +48.5%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes 15,000 0.615 $9,225.00 $425.07 +4.8%
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No 10,102 0.905 $9,141.96 $68.64 +0.8%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? Yes 10,000 0.785 $7,850.00 $2,589.88 +49.2%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 8,000 0.675 $5,400.00 $259.71 +5.1%
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No 5,097 0.865 $4,408.59 $25.48 +0.6%
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? Yes 3,000 0.625 $1,875.01 $68.38 +3.8%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? Yes 5,000 0.305 $1,525.00 $375.00 +32.6%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 4,000 0.356 $1,426.00 $26.01 +1.9%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? Yes 2,000 0.695 $1,389.82 $516.47 +59.1%
Will Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next? Yes 1,500 0.860 $1,290.03 $147.10 +12.9%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? Yes 1,000 0.805 $805.01 $235.26 +41.3%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 940 0.835 $785.12 $14.11 +1.8%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes 2,000 0.365 $729.99 $30.00 +4.3%
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes 5,301 0.100 $530.12 $-365.98 -40.8%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes 2,000 0.265 $530.00 $11.81 +2.3%
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Yes 3,948 0.125 $493.51 $19.74 +4.2%
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? Yes 700 0.650 $455.00 $-71.52 -13.6%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 3,000 0.090 $271.50 $36.22 +15.4%
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No 525 0.515 $270.57 $39.40 +17.0%
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes 3,000 0.065 $195.00 $-94.99 -32.8%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes 2,000 0.095 $190.00 $-295.00 -60.8%
Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? Yes 500 0.240 $120.00 $5.00 +4.3%
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes 1,000 0.115 $115.00 $-5.00 -4.2%
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? No 100 0.670 $67.00 $-17.51 -20.7%