| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
12 |
0.835 |
$10.33 |
$0.99 |
+10.6% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
No |
7 |
0.875 |
$6.20 |
$1.38 |
+28.7% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
8 |
0.675 |
$5.71 |
$0.72 |
+14.4% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? |
No |
6 |
0.830 |
$5.18 |
$0.19 |
+3.7% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.970 |
$5.15 |
$0.16 |
+3.1% |
| Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? |
No |
6 |
0.855 |
$5.14 |
$0.15 |
+3.0% |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.966 |
$5.00 |
$0.00 |
+0.1% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? |
No |
5 |
0.948 |
$4.98 |
$-0.01 |
-0.2% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.955 |
$4.98 |
$-0.03 |
-0.5% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? |
No |
7 |
0.735 |
$4.89 |
$-0.10 |
-2.0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
14 |
0.350 |
$4.86 |
$-0.14 |
-2.8% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? |
Yes |
23 |
0.210 |
$4.76 |
$-0.23 |
-4.5% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
54 |
0.088 |
$4.75 |
$-0.24 |
-4.8% |
| Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? |
Yes |
12 |
0.380 |
$4.74 |
$-0.25 |
-5.0% |
| Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027? |
Yes |
95 |
0.050 |
$4.69 |
$-0.30 |
-5.9% |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
62 |
0.075 |
$4.68 |
$-0.31 |
-6.3% |
| Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? |
No |
5 |
0.855 |
$4.65 |
$-0.35 |
-7.1% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
Yes |
83 |
0.055 |
$4.57 |
$-0.42 |
-8.3% |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
270 |
0.015 |
$4.18 |
$-0.40 |
-8.8% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
Yes |
21 |
0.190 |
$4.05 |
$-0.64 |
-13.6% |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? |
Yes |
30 |
0.105 |
$3.11 |
$-0.15 |
-4.5% |
| Christopher Luxon out by September 30? |
Yes |
13 |
0.225 |
$3.03 |
$-1.96 |
-39.2% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? |
Yes |
6 |
0.325 |
$2.01 |
$-0.53 |
-20.8% |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31? |
Yes |
71 |
0.018 |
$1.24 |
$-3.00 |
-70.8% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
2 |
0.625 |
$1.10 |
$-0.45 |
-29.0% |