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0x53f8ffe8ed035461888adebe136d8afd7768f76e
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$4
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$34
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
20%
2W / 8L · 36 open
Win Return (30d)
6%
2W / 31L · 13 open
Trades (30d)
46
across 18 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$1.17
avg win $0 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.12
$0 won / $4 lost
Reward / Risk
0.25
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$4
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $20 · all-time $85,052
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? |
No |
50 |
0.075 |
$3.77 |
$-34.23 |
-90.1% |
| Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 1.0% and 1.4%? |
Yes |
50 |
0.034 |
$1.68 |
$-15.32 |
-90.1% |
| Felix Protocol FDV above $2B one day after launch? |
Yes |
30 |
0.013 |
$0.40 |
$-14.60 |
-97.3% |