PnL (30d)

−$1,938

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$1,002

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-24.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

67%

6W / 3L · 10 open

Win Return (30d)

37%

7W / 12L

Trades (30d)

19

across 7 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$645.88

avg win $14 · loss $1,966

Profit Factor

0.01

$28 won / $1,966 lost

Reward / Risk

0.01

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$207

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	55.6% 15W/12L	27	$72,924
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/1L	4	$5,767
💵 Economy	—	1	$500

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	No	9,109	0.285	$2,595.22	$-1,404.76	-35.1%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	2,474	0.775	$1,917.34	$342.34	+21.7%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	11,667	0.075	$875.00	$-224.98	-20.5%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	No	1,969	0.435	$856.53	$-143.47	-14.3%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	1,190	0.515	$613.10	$113.10	+22.6%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	2,381	0.165	$392.86	$-107.14	-21.4%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	2,788	0.115	$320.67	$-79.32	-19.8%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	1,126	0.246	$277.47	$-22.53	-7.5%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?	No	1,729	0.145	$250.67	$-249.34	-49.9%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?	No	1,257	0.175	$220.03	$-279.97	-56.0%