| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
182 |
0.865 |
$157.74 |
$2.45 |
+1.6% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
46 |
0.961 |
$44.55 |
$-0.33 |
-0.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
42 |
0.969 |
$40.66 |
$-0.32 |
-0.8% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
No |
17 |
0.935 |
$15.62 |
$0.09 |
+0.5% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
34 |
0.356 |
$11.98 |
$-0.91 |
-7.0% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
8 |
0.940 |
$7.59 |
$0.19 |
+2.5% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? |
No |
7 |
0.989 |
$7.19 |
$0.72 |
+11.1% |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? |
No |
8 |
0.895 |
$7.02 |
$-0.24 |
-3.4% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
22 |
0.215 |
$4.73 |
$-15.30 |
-76.4% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
20 |
0.165 |
$3.30 |
$-2.70 |
-45.0% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? |
Yes |
9 |
0.210 |
$1.88 |
$-2.93 |
-60.9% |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
35 |
0.037 |
$1.32 |
$0.33 |
+33.8% |
| Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05? |
Yes |
1 |
0.980 |
$1.04 |
$0.08 |
+8.8% |
| Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor? |
Yes |
1 |
0.976 |
$1.04 |
$0.13 |
+14.8% |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? |
No |
1 |
0.956 |
$1.02 |
$0.03 |
+2.8% |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? |
No |
1 |
0.915 |
$0.98 |
$0.06 |
+6.4% |
| Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
1,020 |
0.001 |
$0.51 |
$-0.51 |
-50.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? |
Yes |
1 |
0.450 |
$0.48 |
$-0.36 |
-42.3% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
3 |
0.095 |
$0.26 |
$-0.27 |
-50.0% |
| Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? |
Yes |
2 |
0.073 |
$0.16 |
$-0.62 |
-79.2% |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
18 |
0.005 |
$0.09 |
$-4.30 |
-97.9% |
| Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
2 |
0.040 |
$0.09 |
$-0.09 |
-51.8% |