PnL (30d)

−$2

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$2

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-7.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

0%

0W / 2L · 24 open

Win Return (30d)

21%

5W / 19L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

26

across 15 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$1.87

· loss $2

Profit Factor

0.00

$0 won / $2 lost

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	30.4% 7W/16L	50	$152
🏛 Politics	—	7	$15
💵 Economy	—	5	$10
🎬 Culture	—	2	$4
₿ Crypto	—	1	$1

Open positions

52 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?	Yes	57	0.365	$20.63	$11.56	+127.5%
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	20	0.500	$10.07	$2.15	+27.2%
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	76	0.075	$5.73	$-1.15	-16.7%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?	Yes	102	0.051	$5.13	$2.28	+80.2%
Will Israel strike 11 countries in 2026?	Yes	329	0.014	$4.61	$-1.98	-30.0%
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	80	0.045	$3.60	$-1.60	-30.8%
SHEIN IPO before 2027?	Yes	4	0.891	$3.29	$2.73	+486.5%
Ledger IPO before 2027?	Yes	29	0.105	$3.08	$-0.70	-18.4%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	Yes	17	0.165	$2.74	$0.58	+26.9%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	18	0.125	$2.20	$-0.09	-3.8%
Celonis IPO before 2027?	Yes	20	0.110	$2.20	$-0.43	-16.3%
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	20	0.105	$2.07	$0.10	+5.0%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	73	0.027	$1.96	$-0.22	-10.0%
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	Yes	44	0.045	$1.96	$-0.22	-10.0%
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?	Yes	23	0.085	$1.93	$-0.11	-5.6%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	16	0.114	$1.86	$-0.43	-18.9%
ByteDance IPO before 2027?	Yes	28	0.065	$1.82	$-0.44	-19.5%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	110	0.017	$1.81	$-0.38	-17.5%
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	94	0.018	$1.74	$-0.14	-7.5%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?	Yes	5	0.347	$1.74	$1.21	+232.4%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	31	0.055	$1.71	$-0.47	-21.4%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	110	0.013	$1.48	$-0.71	-32.5%
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	3	0.395	$1.36	$0.40	+41.1%
Canva IPO before 2027?	Yes	24	0.045	$1.06	$-0.82	-43.8%
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	11	0.095	$1.05	$-1.27	-54.8%