PnL (30d)

−$126

Economy · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$3,098

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

36%

89W / 158L · 509 open

Win Return (30d)

15%

115W / 641L

Trades (30d)

756

across 20 markets · ~38 per market

EV / position

−$25.16

avg win $264 · loss $218

Profit Factor

0.81

$528 won / $654 lost

Reward / Risk

1.21

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$54

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	36.0% 89W/158L	23	$176,135
💵 Economy	85.7% 30W/5L	9	$16,637
🏛 Politics	100.0% 20W/0L	3	$11,808

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	Yes	1,038	0.470	$487.86	$-56.79	-10.4%
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	722	0.485	$350.40	$-10.84	-3.0%
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?	No	2	0.915	$2.23	$0.01	+0.5%
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?	No	1	0.962	$1.02	$0.13	+15.3%