PnL (30d)

−$487

Sports · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$32

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-82.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

59%

32W / 22L · 13 open

Win Return (30d)

66%

42W / 22L · 3 open

Trades (30d)

67

across 33 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$16.25

avg win $8 · loss $53

Profit Factor

0.23

$148 won / $636 lost

Reward / Risk

0.16

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$11

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	52.9% 45W/40L	62	$3,583
⚽ Sports	85.0% 17W/3L	12	$113
🏛 Politics	—	1	$15

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	No	400	0.865	$346.00	$10.00	+3.0%
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	500	0.395	$197.50	$32.50	+19.7%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	300	0.645	$193.50	$24.50	+14.5%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	Yes	200	0.410	$82.00	$-56.00	-40.6%
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	150	0.395	$59.25	$-42.94	-42.0%
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?	Yes	100	0.481	$48.17	$7.84	+19.4%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	200	0.220	$44.00	$-63.00	-58.9%
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	200	0.215	$43.10	$-63.58	-59.6%
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	500	0.085	$42.50	$-6.17	-12.7%
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	600	0.035	$20.70	$-104.30	-83.4%
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	200	0.100	$20.00	$-12.80	-39.0%