PnL (30d)

−$1,461

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$467

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-17.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

57%

64W / 48L · 19 open

Win Return (30d)

50%

66W / 65L

Trades (30d)

131

across 48 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$32.47

avg win $107 · loss $166

Profit Factor

0.62

$2,356 won / $3,817 lost

Reward / Risk

0.65

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1,693

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	57.1% 64W/48L	48	$16,470
₿ Crypto	56.5% 39W/30L	19	$8,527
⚽ Sports	0.0% 0W/3L	3	$208
🏛 Politics	—	1	$149

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

2 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	1,765	0.080	$141.18	$-158.82	-52.9%
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	Yes	1,133	0.110	$124.67	$-323.33	-72.2%