| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
91,165 |
0.835 |
$76,122.79 |
$-2,689.09 |
-3.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
No |
35,594 |
0.695 |
$24,734.25 |
$-2,375.54 |
-8.8% |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
No |
3,249 |
0.974 |
$3,164.15 |
$697.75 |
+28.3% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
609 |
0.945 |
$575.55 |
$64.27 |
+12.6% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
6,067 |
0.085 |
$515.70 |
$-231.20 |
-31.0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
7,912 |
0.045 |
$356.03 |
$-2,492.49 |
-87.5% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
No |
636 |
0.375 |
$238.51 |
$90.77 |
+61.4% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
300 |
0.655 |
$196.50 |
$61.50 |
+45.6% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
8,609 |
0.021 |
$184.23 |
$-581.43 |
-75.9% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
2,294 |
0.055 |
$126.15 |
$-409.63 |
-76.5% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
4,033 |
0.026 |
$106.88 |
$-568.66 |
-84.2% |
| AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? |
Yes |
100 |
0.895 |
$89.50 |
$78.50 |
+713.6% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
No |
127 |
0.365 |
$46.36 |
$6.99 |
+17.7% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
25 |
0.034 |
$0.85 |
$-2.65 |
-75.7% |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
62 |
0.013 |
$0.77 |
$-13.39 |
-94.5% |