Trader
0x5219d0296729fe3477c8e9059be6707a24a27f31
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$55
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$4
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-5.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
8%
13W / 142L · 16 open
Win Return (30d)
13%
21W / 146L · 4 open
Trades (30d)
171
across 34 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$1.91
avg win $1 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.05
$3 won / $58 lost
Reward / Risk
0.41
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$34
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $5,254 · all-time $122,034
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
13.0%
140W/941L
|
223 |
$12,342 |
|
🌤 Weather
|
3.0%
2W/64L
|
13 |
$1,044 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
2 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on August 5? |
No |
15 |
0.510 |
$7.48 |
$1.03 |
+15.9% |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on August 5? |
Yes |
15 |
0.490 |
$7.18 |
$-0.59 |
-7.5% |