| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
50 |
0.250 |
$12.51 |
$-0.27 |
-2.1% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
13 |
0.845 |
$11.07 |
$1.61 |
+17.0% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
7 |
0.795 |
$5.26 |
$3.26 |
+162.9% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.905 |
$4.86 |
$0.86 |
+21.5% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
No |
6 |
0.685 |
$4.44 |
$0.44 |
+11.0% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
Yes |
31 |
0.135 |
$4.12 |
$-0.88 |
-17.6% |
| Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? |
Yes |
5 |
0.804 |
$3.90 |
$0.90 |
+29.9% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? |
Yes |
15 |
0.210 |
$3.22 |
$-2.78 |
-46.4% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? |
No |
3 |
0.962 |
$3.16 |
$0.16 |
+5.2% |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? |
Yes |
5 |
0.606 |
$3.12 |
$1.12 |
+55.8% |
| Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31? |
Yes |
3 |
0.925 |
$3.05 |
$1.05 |
+52.4% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
Yes |
38 |
0.075 |
$2.86 |
$-4.43 |
-60.7% |
| Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? |
No |
3 |
0.918 |
$2.85 |
$-0.15 |
-4.9% |
| Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
14 |
0.165 |
$2.36 |
$1.36 |
+135.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
4 |
0.555 |
$2.07 |
$0.07 |
+3.7% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? |
No |
2 |
0.964 |
$1.99 |
$0.34 |
+20.4% |
| Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? |
Yes |
22 |
0.082 |
$1.76 |
$-1.24 |
-41.5% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? |
Yes |
8 |
0.210 |
$1.70 |
$-3.30 |
-66.0% |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? |
Yes |
4 |
0.435 |
$1.58 |
$-0.42 |
-20.8% |
| Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? |
Yes |
7 |
0.220 |
$1.56 |
$-0.44 |
-21.8% |
| Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? |
No |
1 |
0.966 |
$1.44 |
$-0.01 |
-0.4% |
| Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? |
Yes |
3 |
0.485 |
$1.35 |
$0.35 |
+34.7% |
| Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? |
Yes |
38 |
0.034 |
$1.31 |
$0.31 |
+30.8% |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
5 |
0.260 |
$1.30 |
$0.30 |
+30.0% |
| Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by December 31? |
Yes |
1 |
0.951 |
$1.27 |
$0.27 |
+26.8% |