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Trader leaderboard/0x51dE66B7f3d10EceB99aaB57622cA850655e9E4A-1779581016815

0x51dE66B7f3d10EceB99aaB57622cA850655e9E4A-1779581016815

0x51de66b7f3d10eceb99aab57622ca850655e9e4a
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$915
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$298
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-53.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
29%
8W / 20L · 12 open
Win Return (30d)
45%
18W / 22L
Trades (30d)
40
across 15 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$101.72
avg win $470 · loss $265
Profit Factor
0.51
$939 won / $1,855 lost
Reward / Risk
1.77
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$331
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,802 · all-time $519,209

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 36.2% 63W/111L 106 $39,532
💵 Economy 16.7% 1W/5L 7 $926
🏛 Politics 100.0% 1W/0L 5 $869
₿ Crypto 16.7% 1W/5L 5 $512
🤖 Tech 1 $50
🎬 Culture 100.0% 1W/0L 1 $6

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

46 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes 10,173 0.130 $1,322.48 $-1,706.93 -56.3%
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No 1,528 0.700 $1,069.89 $-32.37 -2.9%
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? Yes 2,971 0.290 $861.66 $-138.80 -13.9%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? No 9,397 0.085 $798.75 $-1,126.37 -58.5%
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026? Yes 3,570 0.175 $624.69 $-814.60 -56.6%
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? Yes 13,392 0.041 $542.37 $-884.99 -62.0%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes 2,000 0.255 $510.00 $-150.00 -22.7%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? Yes 578 0.835 $482.69 $367.08 +317.5%
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes 2,014 0.215 $432.94 $-496.19 -53.4%
Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%? Yes 834 0.485 $404.71 $29.21 +7.8%
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? Yes 793 0.440 $348.84 $156.64 +81.5%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? No 373 0.890 $331.97 $171.58 +107.0%
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? Yes 2,753 0.115 $316.60 $-480.44 -60.3%
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? Yes 2,836 0.100 $283.64 $-165.48 -36.8%
Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? Yes 604 0.450 $271.74 $9.42 +3.6%
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? No 253 0.895 $226.55 $1.27 +0.6%
US x China tariff agreement by December 31? No 1,421 0.111 $157.01 $9.38 +6.4%
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027? Yes 1,444 0.107 $155.25 $55.25 +55.2%
Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by September 30? Yes 330 0.300 $99.04 $-23.11 -18.9%
Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026? No 126 0.755 $95.21 $9.46 +11.0%
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31? Yes 5,561 0.016 $88.98 $-494.43 -84.7%
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31? Yes 1,164 0.060 $69.83 $-212.91 -75.3%
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026? Yes 203 0.305 $61.81 $9.01 +17.1%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Yes 536 0.085 $45.54 $-54.46 -54.5%
US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026? Yes 156 0.275 $42.82 $3.82 +9.8%