Trader
0x51d997070de3d335b7861123921372021abab0ae
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$12
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-12.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
75%
12W / 4L
Win Return (30d)
75%
12W / 4L
Trades (30d)
16
across 15 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$0.79
avg win $0 · loss $6
Profit Factor
0.30
$5 won / $17 lost
Reward / Risk
0.07
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $30 · all-time $49,065
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
82.8%
24W/5L
|
29 |
$196 |
|
🌤 Weather
|
100.0%
3W/0L
|
3 |
$15 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
2 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 5? |
No |
5 |
1.000 |
$5.00 |
$0.15 |
+3.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on August 5? |
No |
5 |
0.955 |
$4.77 |
$-0.07 |
-1.5% |