PnL (30d)

−$493

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$4

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-13.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

67%

28W / 14L · 8 open

Win Return (30d)

68%

34W / 16L

Trades (30d)

50

across 36 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

−$15.42

avg win $5 · loss $90

Profit Factor

0.22

$137 won / $630 lost

Reward / Risk

0.06

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	66.7% 28W/14L	36	$4,131
🏛 Politics	100.0% 5W/0L	6	$60
🎬 Culture	100.0% 5W/0L	6	$60

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	1,000	0.905	$905.00	$5.00	+0.6%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?	No	200	0.973	$194.50	$1.70	+0.9%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	200	0.972	$194.43	$4.80	+2.5%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?	No	200	0.970	$193.89	$3.50	+1.8%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	100	0.945	$94.50	$12.50	+15.2%
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 TOUR Championship?	No	60	0.953	$57.18	$-1.50	-2.6%
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	50	0.935	$46.75	$3.75	+8.7%
Will Ryan Gerard win the 2026 TOUR Championship?	No	40	0.993	$39.72	$0.16	+0.4%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	11	0.975	$10.37	$0.38	+3.8%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	10	0.969	$10.08	$0.09	+0.9%