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Trader leaderboard/PCMTest

PCMTest

0x51b11a18e75d0f4c3f8e8e360f89eb911d727865
Scoped to Science — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$1
Science · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$75
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
0%
0W / 4L · 11 open
Win Return (30d)
40%
6W / 9L
Trades (30d)
15
across 9 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.68
· loss $1
Profit Factor
0.00
$0 won / $1 lost
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $18,013 · all-time $1,278,830

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 41.8% 23W/32L 62 $7,807
⚽ Sports 10.0% 1W/9L 7 $257
🏛 Politics 2 $7
🎬 Culture 2 $44
🌤 Weather 2 $44
🔬 Science 2 $44
🤖 Tech 1 $136

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

112 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? No 1,276 0.765 $976.14 $282.50 +40.7%
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? No 7,064 0.125 $882.99 $-330.70 -27.2%
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No 883 0.895 $790.48 $167.63 +26.9%
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No 6,802 0.095 $646.18 $-1,093.01 -62.8%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No 1,100 0.545 $599.50 $-1.37 -0.2%
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes 902 0.606 $546.16 $-176.17 -24.4%
Databricks IPO before 2027? No 398 0.925 $368.15 $151.82 +70.2%
Rippling IPO before 2027? No 418 0.875 $366.13 $110.88 +43.4%
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? No 403 0.884 $356.25 $32.75 +10.1%
1st 5 Innings Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Chicago White Sox 531 0.635 $337.19 $9.80 +3.0%
Anduril IPO before 2027? No 337 0.920 $309.85 $89.50 +40.6%
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026? No 387 0.790 $305.73 $56.85 +22.8%
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes 559 0.395 $220.81 $-49.21 -18.2%
Will Bradley Barcola join Liverpool? Yes 319 0.584 $186.30 $18.75 +11.2%
Glean IPO before 2027? No 191 0.915 $174.76 $25.78 +17.3%
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? Yes 628 0.275 $172.70 $-74.23 -30.1%
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes 246 0.650 $159.90 $65.64 +69.6%
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027? No 385 0.400 $154.00 $88.55 +135.3%
1st 5 Innings Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5) Chicago White Sox 203 0.720 $146.16 $2.03 +1.4%
Discord IPO before 2027? No 203 0.706 $143.32 $121.76 +564.8%
Will the Washington Nationals hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season? No 200 0.700 $140.00 $-10.00 -6.7%
Will Frank Ocean release an album in 2026? No 147 0.875 $128.62 $14.56 +12.8%
Celonis IPO before 2027? No 119 0.915 $109.10 $46.78 +75.1%
Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution? No 118 0.915 $107.97 $40.13 +59.2%
SHEIN IPO before 2027? No 975 0.109 $106.22 $-523.12 -83.1%