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Trader leaderboard/maybejohndoe

maybejohndoe

0x517afb02c5e03aec49258efc4eb22152e9456491
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$221
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-23.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
24%
14W / 44L
Win Return (30d)
24%
14W / 44L
Trades (30d)
58
across 34 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$6.49
avg win $30 · loss $22
Profit Factor
0.58
$302 won / $523 lost
Reward / Risk
1.39
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$5
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $30 · all-time $1,030,939

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 40.6% 58W/85L 130 $2,118
⚽ Sports 40.0% 2W/3L 5 $16

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

22 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July? Yes 50 0.670 $33.50 $-2.50 -6.9%
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? Yes 50 0.625 $31.25 $-4.25 -12.0%
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? Yes 50 0.430 $21.50 $5.50 +34.4%
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? Yes 50 0.360 $18.00 $11.34 +170.4%
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? Yes 50 0.295 $14.75 $5.95 +67.6%
Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July? Yes 50 0.245 $12.25 $2.75 +28.9%
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 17 0.555 $9.24 $-0.08 -0.9%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 Over 6 0.710 $4.33 $-0.55 -11.3%
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? Yes 50 0.075 $3.75 $-14.73 -79.7%
Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? Yes 50 0.059 $2.97 $-0.43 -12.5%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 17 0.165 $2.76 $-0.75 -21.3%
Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.1% in July? Yes 50 0.054 $2.70 $0.95 +54.3%
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? Yes 50 0.033 $1.62 $-0.34 -17.5%
Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? Yes 50 0.026 $1.30 $-2.00 -60.7%
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? Yes 50 0.021 $1.02 $-0.15 -13.1%
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 125 0.006 $0.81 $-0.19 -18.8%
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 393 0.002 $0.59 $-2.23 -79.1%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 1,073 0.001 $0.54 $-9.46 -94.6%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 20 0.021 $0.41 $-0.59 -59.0%
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 143 0.003 $0.36 $-0.64 -64.3%
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes 39 0.002 $0.06 $-0.94 -94.1%
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 71 0.001 $0.04 $-0.96 -96.4%