ishouldnot
0x515e2144bf38402568979db4ea7f6b64636c8309
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$70,634
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$43
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-168.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
8%
49W / 578L · 5 open
Win Return (30d)
8%
51W / 581L
Trades (30d)
632
across 8 markets · ~79 per market
EV / position
−$14,126.79
avg win $297 · loss $23,743
Profit Factor
0.01
$595 won / $71,229 lost
Reward / Risk
0.01
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$71,189
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $24,647 · all-time $5,927,524
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
2 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
116,444 |
0.790 |
$92,048.98 |
$33,826.98 |
+58.1% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
116,444 |
0.209 |
$24,395.02 |
$-33,826.98 |
-58.1% |