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Trader leaderboard/52adsa

52adsa

0x5146cbdf6b04a8cf93e6455981c696b88368ac5e
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$5
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$17
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
88%
194W / 26L · 1,287 open
Win Return (30d)
54%
780W / 668L · 59 open
Trades (30d)
1,507
across 259 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
−$0.31
avg win $1 · loss $1
Profit Factor
0.48
$4 won / $9 lost
Reward / Risk
0.54
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $4,401 · all-time $537,697

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 51.5% 982W/925L 831 $4,894
⚽ Sports 2.8% 1W/35L 141 $281
🏛 Politics 76.9% 10W/3L 97 $235
🎬 Culture 100.0% 5W/0L 31 $64
💵 Economy 28 $68
₿ Crypto 11 $7
🤖 Tech 9 $11
🌤 Weather 2 $1
🔬 Science 2 $1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

172 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Shedeur Sanders be on the cover of Madden NFL 27? Yes 175 0.249 $43.55 $39.06 +871.1%
Will Josh Allen be on the cover of Madden NFL 27? Yes 43 0.299 $12.72 $12.14 +2079.0%
Will Michael Sowers win the 2026 PLL MVP award? Yes 24 0.480 $11.64 $10.18 +700.0%
Will Willy Adames lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season? Yes 40 0.271 $10.93 $10.81 +8933.3%
Will Pablo Mastroeni win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? Yes 23 0.401 $9.38 $9.17 +4500.7%
Will Tyler Carpenter win the 2026 PLL Long Stick Midfielder of the Year? Yes 25 0.370 $9.25 $8.50 +1133.3%
Will Mamadu Iaia Djaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? Yes 351 0.025 $8.78 $7.72 +726.4%
Will Renaissance Zemamra win Morocco Botola Pro? Yes 17 0.495 $8.26 $7.76 +1551.7%
James Norton announced as next James Bond? Yes 59 0.139 $8.18 $7.53 +1159.1%
Will Pete Alonso lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season? Yes 38 0.206 $7.85 $7.77 +10199.9%
Will Kenneth Walker III be on the cover of Madden NFL 27? Yes 29 0.264 $7.72 $6.91 +855.3%
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.5T? Yes 38 0.195 $7.45 $5.07 +213.2%
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 Action of the Year? Yes 43 0.172 $7.42 $6.33 +579.2%
Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat? No 9 0.715 $6.71 $1.71 +34.2%
Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 AL East title? Yes 43 0.155 $6.64 $4.12 +163.8%
Will Freddie Freeman have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season? Yes 158 0.041 $6.40 $5.92 +1250.0%
USD1 depeg by December 31? Yes 56 0.110 $6.16 $2.64 +74.8%
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? Yes 26 0.220 $5.79 $1.63 +39.1%
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026? Yes 142 0.039 $5.54 $0.55 +10.9%
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes 43 0.128 $5.49 $0.66 +13.7%
Over $3B crypto hack value in 2026? No 8 0.705 $5.46 $0.98 +21.9%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes 452 0.012 $5.43 $2.02 +59.4%
Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026? Yes 8 0.635 $5.36 $0.37 +7.3%
Will Maryland Whipsnakes be named the 2026 Premier League Lacrosse Champion? No 6 0.872 $5.34 $0.35 +7.0%
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31? No 12 0.445 $5.19 $0.20 +3.9%