PnL (30d)

+$442

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$26

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+31.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

1%

143W / 20,102L · 217 open

Win Return (30d)

1%

294W / 20,132L · 36 open

Trades (30d)

20,462

across 1,811 markets · ~11 per market

EV / position

+$0.25

avg win $87 · loss $1

Profit Factor

1.32

$1,817 won / $1,375 lost

Reward / Risk

109.47

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$223

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	0.7% 143W/20,102L	1811	$2,758
🌤 Weather	0.9% 21W/2,418L	240	$556
₿ Crypto	0.0% 0W/7L	1	$1
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/7L	1	$1
🔬 Science	—	1	$0

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

41 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on August 5?	Yes	2,030	0.006	$13.19	$10.63	+415.9%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on August 5?	Yes	1,100	0.004	$4.40	$3.20	+267.3%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 39°C on August 5?	Yes	550	0.005	$3.02	$1.88	+163.5%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 5?	Yes	373	0.006	$2.42	$1.89	+354.5%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 5?	Yes	368	0.004	$1.66	$1.29	+350.0%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 5?	Yes	329	0.004	$1.48	$0.82	+125.0%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on August 5?	Yes	25	0.042	$1.04	$0.99	+1974.8%
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in July 2026?	Yes	118	0.005	$0.65	$0.53	+449.9%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 5?	Yes	230	0.003	$0.57	$0.03	+4.6%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 40°C on August 5?	Yes	150	0.004	$0.52	$0.33	+162.9%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	1,000	0.001	$0.50	$-0.50	-50.0%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 39°C on August 5?	Yes	100	0.005	$0.50	$0.30	+150.0%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on August 5?	Yes	15	0.030	$0.45	$0.25	+125.0%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 5?	Yes	78	0.005	$0.43	$0.17	+67.7%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on August 5?	Yes	60	0.006	$0.39	$0.16	+69.5%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 5?	Yes	144	0.003	$0.36	$0.17	+85.8%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 5?	Yes	50	0.006	$0.33	$0.17	+116.7%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 5?	Yes	15	0.020	$0.30	$0.10	+50.0%
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 5?	Yes	100	0.003	$0.30	$0.15	+100.0%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on August 5?	Yes	64	0.004	$0.26	$0.19	+300.0%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on August 5?	Yes	142	0.002	$0.21	$0.07	+49.9%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	407	0.001	$0.20	$-0.20	-50.0%
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 5?	Yes	10	0.017	$0.17	$0.04	+26.9%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 5?	Yes	5	0.030	$0.15	$0.05	+49.9%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	15	0.010	$0.15	$-0.05	-25.0%