| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
5,305 |
0.865 |
$4,588.63 |
$114.09 |
+2.5% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
455 |
0.958 |
$435.62 |
$-3.59 |
-0.8% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
88 |
0.940 |
$82.84 |
$21.41 |
+34.8% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? |
No |
71 |
0.988 |
$70.11 |
$6.92 |
+11.0% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
No |
44 |
0.963 |
$42.03 |
$2.03 |
+5.1% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
145 |
0.215 |
$31.19 |
$-99.28 |
-76.1% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
200 |
0.155 |
$31.00 |
$-29.00 |
-48.3% |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
514 |
0.026 |
$13.62 |
$2.52 |
+22.6% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
9 |
0.845 |
$7.51 |
$3.51 |
+87.8% |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
198 |
0.037 |
$7.44 |
$-0.49 |
-6.2% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
59 |
0.117 |
$6.89 |
$-3.11 |
-31.1% |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? |
No |
7 |
0.890 |
$6.10 |
$1.71 |
+39.1% |
| Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? |
No |
6 |
0.977 |
$5.49 |
$0.49 |
+9.7% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? |
Yes |
16 |
0.225 |
$3.60 |
$-6.33 |
-63.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
No |
16 |
0.230 |
$3.60 |
$-7.31 |
-67.0% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
31 |
0.095 |
$2.94 |
$-8.95 |
-75.3% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
Yes |
10 |
0.145 |
$1.45 |
$-2.55 |
-63.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
1 |
0.900 |
$1.05 |
$0.05 |
+4.7% |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
53 |
0.003 |
$0.16 |
$-1.84 |
-92.1% |
| Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
57 |
0.001 |
$0.03 |
$-16.87 |
-99.8% |