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Trader leaderboard/Barboncino

Barboncino

0x50396e4d9d11d38b0dcfd75280101a315f50946d
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$1,811
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$315
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-8.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
27%
15W / 41L · 7 open
Win Return (30d)
24%
15W / 48L
Trades (30d)
63
across 18 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$120.73
avg win $356 · loss $836
Profit Factor
0.64
$3,205 won / $5,016 lost
Reward / Risk
0.43
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $29,980 · all-time $1,157,186

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 40.0% 54W/81L 42 $70,427
🏛 Politics 100.0% 4W/0L 7 $8,444
💵 Economy 100.0% 2W/0L 4 $5,096
🎬 Culture 100.0% 2W/0L 2 $882

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

15 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No 6,000 0.625 $3,750.31 $1,715.01 +84.3%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? No 2,905 0.890 $2,585.78 $877.64 +51.4%
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? No 2,500 0.980 $2,448.75 $-16.25 -0.7%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No 6,000 0.375 $2,250.00 $-30.00 -1.3%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? Yes 2,500 0.805 $2,012.50 $1,287.50 +177.6%
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? Yes 2,095 0.710 $1,487.39 $670.37 +82.1%
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? No 1,653 0.815 $1,347.31 $32.86 +2.5%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 1,734 0.465 $806.12 $-268.71 -25.0%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes 595 0.853 $507.24 $172.96 +51.7%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? Yes 1,000 0.369 $369.47 $-52.50 -12.4%
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? Yes 1,250 0.270 $337.50 $-158.75 -32.0%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? No 600 0.395 $236.99 $-111.00 -31.9%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? No 400 0.190 $76.00 $-76.00 -50.0%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? No 405 0.130 $52.65 $-28.35 -35.0%
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026? No 15 0.924 $13.55 $-0.77 -5.4%