Esmememeralda
0x5037a31becf732f54d7cde7ab2760f0a844f0307
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$25
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$11
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+13.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
4W / 0L · 4 open
Win Return (30d)
100%
8W / 0L
Trades (30d)
8
across 4 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$12.45
avg win $12
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
−$0
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $458 · all-time $124,365
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
No |
130 |
0.954 |
$123.95 |
$2.81 |
+2.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
130 |
0.835 |
$108.55 |
$-3.45 |
-3.1% |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? |
No |
110 |
0.915 |
$100.71 |
$1.44 |
+1.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
160 |
0.615 |
$98.40 |
$-23.93 |
-19.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
No |
125 |
0.695 |
$86.86 |
$-11.69 |
-11.9% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? |
Yes |
98 |
0.885 |
$86.70 |
$15.41 |
+21.6% |
| China coup attempt before 2027? |
No |
9 |
0.970 |
$9.06 |
$0.43 |
+5.0% |