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Trader leaderboard/0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

0x502b532f55778c0985846dc53a9bc71eb4f33b15
PnL (30d)
+$5,187
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$244
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
45%
14,364W / 17,374L · 579 open
Win Return (30d)
46%
14,753W / 17,525L · 39 open
Trades (30d)
32,317
across 5,397 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
+$0.98
avg win $22 · loss $23
Profit Factor
1.09
$61,625 won / $56,439 lost
Reward / Risk
0.95
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1,710
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $176,129 · all-time $4,929,274

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 45.3% 14,364W/17,374L 5397 $461,582
₿ Crypto 42.3% 649W/884L 290 $18,273
🏛 Politics 2 $3,597

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

15 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No 2,741 0.755 $2,069.36 $-140.56 -6.4%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 1,700 0.961 $1,632.85 $45.25 +2.9%
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes 2,229 0.675 $1,504.44 $-100.58 -6.3%
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? Yes 1,200 0.935 $1,122.00 $102.00 +10.0%
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No 1,104 0.925 $1,020.80 $45.49 +4.7%
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? Yes 1,000 0.954 $953.50 $3.50 +0.4%
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? No 1,000 0.949 $949.00 $69.00 +7.8%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 1,000 0.945 $945.00 $45.00 +5.0%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 800 0.865 $691.99 $76.00 +12.3%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No 800 0.642 $513.60 $-166.40 -24.5%
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? No 500 0.918 $459.25 $-1.25 -0.3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 91 0.000 $0.00 $-28.51 -100.0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 21 0.000 $0.00 $-12.39 -100.0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 42 0.000 $0.00 $-24.78 -100.0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 23 0.000 $0.00 $-9.66 -100.0%