| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
25,000 |
0.790 |
$19,762.50 |
$7,262.50 |
+58.1% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
9,000 |
0.880 |
$7,919.99 |
$1,270.03 |
+19.1% |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? |
No |
5,746 |
0.979 |
$5,622.42 |
$620.80 |
+12.4% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
25,000 |
0.209 |
$5,237.50 |
$-7,262.50 |
-58.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
Yes |
4,412 |
1.000 |
$4,409.72 |
$101.27 |
+2.4% |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31? |
No |
4,283 |
0.940 |
$4,026.02 |
$503.33 |
+14.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
3,998 |
0.543 |
$2,172.89 |
$-426.46 |
-16.4% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
No |
1,851 |
0.966 |
$1,787.65 |
$298.26 |
+20.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
Yes |
1,075 |
0.999 |
$1,073.87 |
$30.93 |
+3.0% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
No |
860 |
0.976 |
$838.45 |
$21.06 |
+2.6% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
No |
366 |
0.940 |
$344.18 |
$10.98 |
+3.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
No |
555 |
0.315 |
$174.82 |
$-130.43 |
-42.7% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
222 |
0.457 |
$101.34 |
$1.44 |
+1.4% |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? |
No |
74 |
0.875 |
$64.38 |
$20.38 |
+46.3% |
| Will the Utah Jazz make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? |
No |
100 |
0.640 |
$64.00 |
$-22.00 |
-25.6% |
| Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $10B by December 31? |
No |
100 |
0.495 |
$49.50 |
$-34.50 |
-41.1% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.025 |
$49.00 |
$21.00 |
+75.0% |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? |
Yes |
1,537 |
0.021 |
$32.90 |
$14.45 |
+78.3% |
| Will Rho Labs launch a token by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
256 |
0.034 |
$8.69 |
$-37.63 |
-81.2% |
| Will Russell Fry place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? |
No |
10 |
0.710 |
$7.10 |
$-1.90 |
-21.1% |
| Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31? |
No |
7 |
0.650 |
$4.87 |
$-0.85 |
-14.9% |
| Will Ruslan Titov win the 2026 Bryansk Oblast gubernatorial elections? |
Yes |
147 |
0.021 |
$3.15 |
$-1.71 |
-35.2% |
| Will Ashley Trail win Big Brother season 28? |
Yes |
161 |
0.001 |
$0.08 |
$-9.58 |
-99.2% |
| Will William Timmons be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
Yes |
105 |
0.001 |
$0.05 |
$-6.54 |
-99.2% |