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Trader leaderboard/planktonXD

planktonXD

0x4ffe49ba2a4cae123536a8af4fda48faeb609f71
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$582
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$371
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-4.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
56%
1,370W / 1,055L · 2,204 open
Win Return (30d)
63%
2,913W / 1,704L · 12 open
Trades (30d)
4,629
across 693 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
−$1.74
avg win $11 · loss $14
Profit Factor
0.76
$1,835 won / $2,417 lost
Reward / Risk
0.81
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$152
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $542,214 · all-time $224,866,081

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 64.8% 15,481W/8,425L 5303 $191,869
🏛 Politics 66.6% 303W/152L 378 $8,661
💵 Economy 57.6% 251W/185L 301 $9,053
₿ Crypto 60.8% 438W/282L 276 $8,600
⚽ Sports 163 $5,138
🎬 Culture 77.3% 248W/73L 123 $3,512
🤖 Tech 50.0% 23W/23L 65 $1,501
🌤 Weather 77.4% 41W/12L 29 $295
🔬 Science 0.0% 0W/1L 15 $336

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? Yes 2,570 0.065 $167.02 $161.74 +3059.9%
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? Yes 2,102 0.058 $121.94 $117.72 +2791.3%
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 2,788 0.027 $75.28 $53.67 +248.3%
Will Ty Masterson win the Kansas Republican Governor primary by 10–15%? Yes 148 0.470 $69.72 $51.00 +272.4%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $457.50 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 455 0.115 $52.08 $29.39 +129.6%
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by December 31? No 140 0.370 $51.80 $28.00 +117.6%
Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? Yes 1,166 0.042 $48.39 $43.63 +917.7%
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 TOUR Championship? Yes 843 0.057 $48.06 $22.76 +90.0%
Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026? Yes 128 0.356 $45.57 $10.05 +28.3%
Will the Tampa Bay Rays hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season? Yes 1,111 0.041 $45.55 $44.44 +4000.0%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 6? Yes 648 0.068 $43.74 $19.76 +82.4%
Will Warren Buffett be 2nd richest person on December 31? Yes 185 0.232 $42.83 $42.28 +7633.3%
Will Minnesota use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes 571 0.072 $41.11 $29.12 +242.9%
Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? Yes 1,092 0.036 $39.86 $15.89 +66.3%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 6? Yes 1,800 0.020 $36.00 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Paddy Pimblett be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes 882 0.040 $35.27 $33.51 +1900.0%
Will Bruno Fernandes stay at Manchester United? No 368 0.095 $34.78 $-1.14 -3.2%
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on August 9? Yes 379 0.090 $34.07 $30.28 +800.0%
Will Nebojša Vukanović be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? Yes 478 0.071 $33.89 $21.46 +172.7%
Will at least 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? Yes 460 0.072 $33.35 $9.39 +39.2%
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? Yes 1,210 0.028 $33.28 $3.70 +12.5%
Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.1% in July? Yes 591 0.054 $31.93 $14.19 +80.0%
Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 9M ETH before 2027? Yes 350 0.090 $31.49 $11.39 +56.6%
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? Yes 97 0.320 $31.18 $-2.79 -8.2%
Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? Yes 936 0.033 $30.88 $9.36 +43.5%