| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
1,210 |
0.865 |
$1,046.66 |
$140.85 |
+15.5% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
1,390 |
0.675 |
$938.24 |
$157.26 |
+20.1% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? |
No |
940 |
0.986 |
$926.37 |
$22.39 |
+2.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
1,100 |
0.835 |
$918.50 |
$137.50 |
+17.6% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
1,040 |
0.823 |
$855.37 |
$21.74 |
+2.6% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
910 |
0.927 |
$844.02 |
$29.68 |
+3.6% |
| Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
890 |
0.930 |
$827.74 |
$17.27 |
+2.1% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
No |
860 |
0.935 |
$804.10 |
$20.50 |
+2.6% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
No |
870 |
0.915 |
$796.05 |
$4.35 |
+0.5% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
900 |
0.875 |
$787.50 |
$12.75 |
+1.6% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
No |
810 |
0.961 |
$778.00 |
$-2.83 |
-0.4% |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026? |
No |
831 |
0.930 |
$773.32 |
$7.91 |
+1.0% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
No |
796 |
0.970 |
$771.72 |
$7.56 |
+1.0% |
| Yoon out of custody before 2027? |
No |
851 |
0.903 |
$768.56 |
$3.64 |
+0.5% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
770 |
0.977 |
$751.90 |
$7.83 |
+1.1% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
780 |
0.959 |
$747.63 |
$-5.85 |
-0.8% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? |
Yes |
746 |
0.959 |
$715.86 |
$2.96 |
+0.4% |
| Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-05? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.715 |
$714.99 |
$35.00 |
+5.1% |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
780 |
0.865 |
$674.70 |
$-25.80 |
-3.7% |
| Russia coup attempt in 2026? |
No |
660 |
0.925 |
$610.50 |
$3.30 |
+0.5% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
637 |
0.954 |
$607.39 |
$-5.41 |
-0.9% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
630 |
0.940 |
$591.88 |
$8.50 |
+1.5% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026? |
No |
570 |
0.977 |
$556.61 |
$2.00 |
+0.4% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
1,383 |
0.356 |
$492.94 |
$-28.31 |
-5.4% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? |
No |
500 |
0.955 |
$477.52 |
$2.50 |
+0.5% |