PnL (30d)

−$1,555

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$72

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-25.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

50%

23W / 23L · 45 open

Win Return (30d)

36%

33W / 58L

Trades (30d)

91

across 27 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$86.41

avg win $7 · loss $329

Profit Factor

0.05

$89 won / $1,644 lost

Reward / Risk

0.02

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$0

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	50.0% 23W/23L	27	$6,911
₿ Crypto	—	4	$402
💵 Economy	—	4	$402
🏛 Politics	100.0% 2W/0L	1	$20

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

13 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	340	0.620	$210.94	$18.16	+9.4%
Ethereal FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	180	0.926	$166.77	$1.17	+0.7%
Ethereal FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	150	0.880	$131.65	$-5.06	-3.7%
Ethereal FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	104	0.845	$88.20	$-2.27	-2.5%
Ethereal FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	34	0.855	$28.82	$-1.18	-3.9%
Ethereal FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	106	0.180	$19.10	$-3.26	-14.6%
Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch?	Yes	30	0.620	$18.60	$-2.10	-10.1%
Perena FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	20	0.830	$16.60	$-0.80	-4.6%
Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch?	No	29	0.380	$10.87	$5.64	+107.7%
Ethereal FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	24	0.180	$4.32	$0.64	+17.5%
Ethereal FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	4	0.820	$2.88	$0.11	+3.8%
Will Ethereal launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	6	0.370	$2.35	$-1.39	-37.3%
Squid FDV above $200M one day after launch	Yes	85	0.006	$0.51	$-13.18	-96.3%