PnL (30d)

−$300

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$3

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-67.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

23%

16W / 54L · 3 open

Win Return (30d)

25%

18W / 55L

Trades (30d)

73

across 19 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$17.65

avg win $29 · loss $32

Profit Factor

0.28

$117 won / $417 lost

Reward / Risk

0.91

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$65

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	22.3% 40W/139L	43	$2,994
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/5L	4	$105
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/5L	4	$105

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	151	0.994	$150.02	$74.52	+98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	66	0.845	$55.77	$22.77	+69.0%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	151	0.006	$0.98	$-2.04	-67.5%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,205	0.001	$0.60	$-15.07	-96.2%