Za-Za
0x4f1fb52e69eb8a7af1f219d68b67c54cf1d34a48
PnL (30d)
−$49
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$6
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-19.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
35%
18W / 33L · 7 open
Win Return (30d)
31%
18W / 40L
Trades (30d)
58
across 18 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$3.05
avg win $8 · loss $14
Profit Factor
0.56
$62 won / $111 lost
Reward / Risk
0.56
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $28,057
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians |
Cleveland Guardians |
29 |
0.445 |
$12.96 |
$-1.89 |
-12.7% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
15 |
0.745 |
$11.21 |
$3.16 |
+39.3% |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? |
No |
2 |
0.820 |
$1.76 |
$0.30 |
+20.6% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
Yes |
11 |
0.145 |
$1.56 |
$-2.54 |
-61.8% |
| Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? |
No |
1 |
0.740 |
$0.90 |
$0.06 |
+7.2% |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? |
Yes |
20 |
0.013 |
$0.27 |
$-5.81 |
-95.5% |