Yangtaolalala
0x4f077744c1ecea24954a10847821ef4632318aef
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$196
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$135
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+9.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
83%
5W / 1L · 46 open
Win Return (30d)
98%
51W / 1L
Trades (30d)
52
across 4 markets · ~13 per market
EV / position
+$98.15
avg win $199 · loss $3
Profit Factor
73.70
$199 won / $3 lost
Reward / Risk
73.70
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,031 · all-time $875,139
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
1,309 |
0.515 |
$674.14 |
$146.97 |
+27.9% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.233 |
$23.25 |
$11.25 |
+93.8% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.175 |
$17.50 |
$-22.50 |
-56.2% |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? |
Yes |
497 |
0.033 |
$16.15 |
$-40.87 |
-71.7% |
| Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? |
Yes |
92 |
0.045 |
$4.13 |
$-6.59 |
-61.5% |