| Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.886 |
$88.60 |
$2.10 |
+2.4% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
158 |
0.460 |
$72.40 |
$-21.54 |
-22.9% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? |
Yes |
85 |
0.645 |
$54.70 |
$10.18 |
+22.9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
51 |
0.845 |
$43.26 |
$-2.48 |
-5.4% |
| Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30? |
No |
40 |
0.925 |
$37.00 |
$5.20 |
+16.4% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? |
No |
86 |
0.335 |
$28.71 |
$6.43 |
+28.8% |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? |
Yes |
125 |
0.175 |
$21.86 |
$0.66 |
+3.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
No |
30 |
0.665 |
$19.94 |
$0.30 |
+1.5% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? |
No |
15 |
0.695 |
$10.28 |
$0.22 |
+2.2% |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.770 |
$7.70 |
$2.30 |
+42.6% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? |
No |
8 |
0.755 |
$6.17 |
$1.55 |
+33.6% |
| US bank failure by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
8 |
0.725 |
$5.69 |
$-0.04 |
-0.7% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
Yes |
52 |
0.105 |
$5.44 |
$-13.92 |
-71.9% |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
67 |
0.075 |
$5.06 |
$-3.29 |
-39.4% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? |
Yes |
14 |
0.175 |
$2.44 |
$-0.07 |
-2.8% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? |
Yes |
17 |
0.135 |
$2.36 |
$-0.09 |
-3.8% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? |
Yes |
5 |
0.195 |
$0.98 |
$0.13 |
+15.8% |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
22 |
0.033 |
$0.74 |
$-8.42 |
-92.0% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? |
Yes |
15 |
0.039 |
$0.58 |
$-0.56 |
-49.1% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? |
Yes |
4 |
0.095 |
$0.38 |
$-0.45 |
-54.8% |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? |
Yes |
5 |
0.044 |
$0.22 |
$-0.17 |
-43.6% |
| Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
41 |
0.001 |
$0.02 |
$-2.95 |
-99.3% |
| Will Chip Keating win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? |
Yes |
11 |
0.001 |
$0.01 |
$-0.35 |
-98.4% |