Trader
0x4e84ce1599d3d0272932a729c2a3310b734bef69
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$70
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
—
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
58%
177W / 126L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
304
across 14 markets · ~22 per market
EV / position
—
no settled positions
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $6,984 · all-time $4,462,363
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? |
No |
237 |
0.875 |
$207.38 |
$25.27 |
+13.9% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? |
No |
104 |
0.905 |
$94.41 |
$0.52 |
+0.6% |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? |
No |
64 |
0.820 |
$52.89 |
$0.67 |
+1.3% |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? |
Yes |
241 |
0.180 |
$43.41 |
$3.72 |
+9.4% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
No |
63 |
0.605 |
$38.12 |
$-4.09 |
-9.7% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
Yes |
110 |
0.040 |
$4.36 |
$0.17 |
+3.9% |