PnL (30d)

−$58

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$15

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-15.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

50%

174W / 173L · 32 open

Win Return (30d)

46%

174W / 205L

Trades (30d)

379

across 134 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$0.47

avg win $2 · loss $2

Profit Factor

0.65

$109 won / $167 lost

Reward / Risk

0.91

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$26

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	50.1% 174W/173L	134	$644
₿ Crypto	38.5% 10W/16L	17	$67
🏛 Politics	—	1	$1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 7?	No	32	0.075	$2.43	$-7.74	-76.1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 9?	No	10	0.120	$1.17	$-2.31	-66.4%
Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	500	0.002	$0.75	$-0.25	-25.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?	No	5	0.135	$0.68	$-0.88	-56.5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 9?	No	13	0.025	$0.34	$-1.71	-83.6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 7?	No	9	0.009	$0.08	$-1.09	-93.1%