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Trader leaderboard/0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343

0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343

0x4e72c22cd76f9973a48aedfd79feeaacc8b7ffb9
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$27
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$6
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
51%
2,580W / 2,448L · 185 open
Win Return (30d)
51%
2,590W / 2,451L · 172 open
Trades (30d)
5,213
across 1,595 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$0.02
avg win $3 · loss $3
Profit Factor
1.01
$2,466 won / $2,440 lost
Reward / Risk
0.96
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$43
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $46,022 · all-time $1,584,311

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 52.2% 11,398W/10,420L 6638 $269,302
🌤 Weather 48.0% 539W/584L 387 $8,267
⚽ Sports 38.9% 161W/253L 255 $3,940
🏛 Politics 39.3% 68W/105L 62 $6,472
🎬 Culture 23.8% 31W/99L 36 $1,329
💵 Economy 53.8% 21W/18L 16 $3,520
₿ Crypto 30.8% 4W/9L 9 $58
🤖 Tech 20.0% 4W/16L 6 $279

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

51 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) Philadelphia Phillies 2,773 0.995 $2,757.30 $41.37 +1.5%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 5? No 507 0.998 $505.97 $0.25 +0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 5? No 505 0.994 $501.98 $-1.79 -0.4%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 5? No 491 1.000 $491.09 $26.37 +5.7%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 5? No 433 0.870 $377.02 $135.53 +56.1%
Will Lauri Saaskilahti Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event? No 151 0.597 $89.81 $89.81 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 5? No 520 0.135 $70.24 $-148.29 -67.9%
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5) Baltimore Orioles 2,773 0.025 $69.31 $-165.14 -70.4%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 5? No 54 1.000 $53.74 $53.74 +0.0%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? Yes 61 0.840 $50.95 $50.95 +0.0%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 39 0.675 $26.32 $25.18 +2195.1%
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 47 0.545 $25.63 $-7.29 -22.1%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? No 101 0.205 $20.69 $20.69 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 5? No 17 1.000 $17.24 $17.24 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on August 5? No 17 1.000 $17.24 $17.24 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on August 5? No 17 1.000 $17.24 $17.24 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 5? No 17 1.000 $17.24 $17.24 +0.0%
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? No 18 0.750 $13.85 $2.74 +24.7%
Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? Yes 37 0.320 $11.84 $11.84 +0.0%
Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? Yes 10 0.880 $8.80 $8.80 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 5? Yes 5 0.750 $3.79 $3.79 +0.0%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? Yes 10 0.365 $3.65 $3.65 +0.0%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%? Yes 10 0.224 $2.23 $2.23 +0.0%
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? No 41 0.046 $1.88 $1.88 +0.0%
Will Cook Islands United Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? Yes 86 0.015 $1.33 $-1.53 -53.5%