Trader
0x4e5c2d65703d9f4c155c716774ebcc181cf5d892
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$335
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+8.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
53%
203W / 182L · 2 open
Win Return (30d)
53%
203W / 182L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
387
across 63 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
+$5.40
avg win $20 · loss $3
Profit Factor
3.56
$466 won / $131 lost
Reward / Risk
6.03
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$18
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $12,665 · all-time $2,797,205
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? |
No |
700 |
0.981 |
$686.34 |
$156.70 |
+29.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 6°C on August 5? |
Yes |
200 |
0.001 |
$0.10 |
$-0.99 |
-90.8% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 7°C on August 5? |
Yes |
68 |
0.001 |
$0.03 |
$-0.51 |
-93.7% |