PnL (30d)

−$169

Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$6

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-22.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

20%

64W / 257L · 59 open

Win Return (30d)

31%

119W / 261L

Trades (30d)

380

across 49 markets · ~8 per market

EV / position

−$5.12

avg win $1 · loss $7

Profit Factor

0.05

$10 won / $179 lost

Reward / Risk

0.15

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$4

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	21.9% 111W/397L	85	$1,899
₿ Crypto	53.3% 16W/14L	17	$116
💵 Economy	20.0% 2W/8L	6	$58

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

13 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	No	37	0.760	$28.26	$1.58	+5.9%
Will Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026?	No	31	0.730	$22.63	$-0.77	-3.3%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	20	0.495	$9.90	$-0.10	-1.0%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	No	10	0.860	$8.60	$0.35	+4.2%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	23	0.305	$7.09	$-1.24	-14.9%
Will Ethereum reach $2,250 by December 31, 2026?	No	15	0.445	$6.67	$0.22	+3.5%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	10	0.665	$6.65	$-0.15	-2.2%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	No	5	0.935	$4.67	$0.46	+11.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	6	0.765	$4.59	$-0.03	-0.6%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in August?	Yes	4	0.885	$3.45	$2.75	+391.7%
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	5	0.630	$3.15	$0.23	+8.0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August?	Yes	38	0.062	$2.36	$0.58	+32.4%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?	Yes	2	0.290	$0.58	$0.22	+59.7%