PnL (30d)

−$237

Weather · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$10

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-44.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

9%

14W / 150L · 1 open

Win Return (30d)

8%

14W / 151L

Trades (30d)

165

across 92 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$2.61

avg win $34 · loss $6

Profit Factor

0.50

$235 won / $472 lost

Reward / Risk

5.97

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$88

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	10.9% 56W/457L	289	$2,883
🌤 Weather	2.0% 1W/49L	29	$113

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 6?	Yes	394	0.036	$14.39	$4.39	+43.9%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 6?	Yes	43	0.089	$3.86	$-1.14	-22.8%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 6?	Yes	53	0.015	$0.82	$-0.18	-17.6%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 5?	Yes	572	0.001	$0.29	$-9.71	-97.1%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	252	0.001	$0.13	$-9.87	-98.7%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 5?	Yes	42	0.001	$0.02	$-8.98	-99.8%