| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? |
Yes |
16,933 |
0.009 |
$152.39 |
$19.54 |
+14.7% |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
3,333 |
0.009 |
$28.33 |
$-1.67 |
-5.6% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,235 |
0.022 |
$27.79 |
$12.97 |
+87.5% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? |
No |
182 |
0.085 |
$15.45 |
$4.54 |
+41.7% |
| Will Barbora Krejcikova win the 2026 Women’s US Open? |
Yes |
625 |
0.011 |
$7.19 |
$2.19 |
+43.8% |
| Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
2,500 |
0.003 |
$6.25 |
$-3.75 |
-37.5% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
9 |
0.645 |
$5.74 |
$5.12 |
+821.4% |
| Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
1,617 |
0.003 |
$4.04 |
$-5.66 |
-58.3% |
| Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.002 |
$3.00 |
$-7.00 |
-70.0% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026? |
Yes |
161 |
0.017 |
$2.65 |
$1.05 |
+65.0% |
| Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
1,667 |
0.002 |
$2.50 |
$-7.50 |
-75.0% |
| Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
1,667 |
0.002 |
$2.50 |
$-7.50 |
-75.0% |
| Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
1,667 |
0.002 |
$2.50 |
$-7.50 |
-75.0% |
| Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
1,666 |
0.002 |
$2.50 |
$-7.50 |
-75.0% |
| Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
Yes |
244 |
0.007 |
$1.83 |
$0.61 |
+50.0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
73 |
0.025 |
$1.80 |
$1.07 |
+145.0% |
| Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
588 |
0.003 |
$1.47 |
$-2.06 |
-58.3% |
| Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
96 |
0.015 |
$1.44 |
$0.48 |
+50.0% |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
2,405 |
0.001 |
$1.20 |
$-6.01 |
-83.3% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
82 |
0.015 |
$1.20 |
$0.37 |
+45.0% |
| Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? |
Yes |
7 |
0.063 |
$0.46 |
$-0.05 |
-10.0% |
| Will Allstate (ALL) beat quarterly earnings? |
No |
3 |
0.115 |
$0.33 |
$0.13 |
+64.3% |
| Will Mo Ivory win the 2026 Fulton Commission Chair election? |
No |
5 |
0.034 |
$0.17 |
$-0.03 |
-16.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
No |
239 |
0.001 |
$0.12 |
$-0.60 |
-83.3% |