OilWizard
0x4d774ef602fd62869a20ae91ed6bf93f7fd6af31
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$252
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$20
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+24.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
8%
1W / 11L · 1 open
Win Return (30d)
8%
1W / 12L
Trades (30d)
13
across 3 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$125.83
avg win $281 · loss $30
Profit Factor
9.51
$281 won / $30 lost
Reward / Risk
9.51
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $262 · all-time $305,705
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? |
No |
664 |
0.790 |
$524.86 |
$211.60 |
+67.5% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
300 |
0.465 |
$139.50 |
$-19.50 |
-12.3% |
| Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
1,096 |
0.046 |
$50.43 |
$-346.87 |
-87.3% |
| Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
900 |
0.002 |
$1.80 |
$-23.30 |
-92.8% |