| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
No |
10,000 |
0.540 |
$5,405.00 |
$405.00 |
+8.1% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
10,816 |
0.460 |
$4,970.08 |
$-432.77 |
-8.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
5,470 |
0.865 |
$4,731.77 |
$48.38 |
+1.0% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
3,910 |
0.987 |
$3,856.89 |
$136.15 |
+3.7% |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
No |
3,422 |
0.980 |
$3,351.85 |
$16.61 |
+0.5% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
3,333 |
0.926 |
$3,088.02 |
$25.00 |
+0.8% |
| Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? |
Yes |
2,314 |
0.940 |
$2,174.96 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? |
Yes |
2,222 |
0.974 |
$2,163.12 |
$74.44 |
+3.6% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
3,043 |
0.645 |
$1,962.73 |
$306.61 |
+18.5% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
1,892 |
0.987 |
$1,865.96 |
$101.42 |
+5.7% |
| Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? |
Yes |
1,948 |
0.875 |
$1,704.82 |
$-2.15 |
-0.1% |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
1,271 |
0.915 |
$1,162.96 |
$19.06 |
+1.7% |
| Will The Left win the third most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? |
Yes |
1,176 |
0.963 |
$1,132.49 |
$9.54 |
+0.8% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
1,130 |
0.977 |
$1,103.29 |
$12.07 |
+1.1% |
| Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election? |
Yes |
1,135 |
0.915 |
$1,038.74 |
$33.91 |
+3.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
1,689 |
0.615 |
$1,038.50 |
$-132.01 |
-11.3% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
1,111 |
0.745 |
$827.70 |
$5.55 |
+0.7% |
| Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? |
No |
831 |
0.964 |
$800.52 |
$11.22 |
+1.4% |
| Will Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton? |
Yes |
793 |
0.991 |
$785.95 |
$62.06 |
+8.6% |
| Spain snap election called by August 31, 2026? |
No |
800 |
0.978 |
$782.00 |
$-2.78 |
-0.4% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
1,141 |
0.675 |
$770.17 |
$36.51 |
+5.0% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? |
No |
1,129 |
0.660 |
$744.88 |
$22.31 |
+3.1% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
2,858 |
0.259 |
$738.88 |
$-157.05 |
-17.5% |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? |
No |
1,111 |
0.645 |
$716.60 |
$-61.10 |
-7.9% |
| Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? |
No |
861 |
0.815 |
$701.81 |
$12.83 |
+1.9% |