0x4cBE5306AF0473Ae7499096fecE9e8c7689F100a-1772769719447
0x4cbe5306af0473ae7499096fece9e8c7689f100a
PnL (30d)
−$709
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$268
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
95%
40W / 2L · 965 open
Win Return (30d)
73%
728W / 274L · 5 open
Trades (30d)
1,007
across 27 markets · ~37 per market
EV / position
−$141.84
avg win $331 · loss $852
Profit Factor
0.58
$994 won / $1,703 lost
Reward / Risk
0.39
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $151,376 · all-time $1,004,413
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
Yes |
88,132 |
0.260 |
$22,914.44 |
$-5,335.72 |
-18.9% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
16,751 |
0.155 |
$2,596.34 |
$-134.78 |
-4.9% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
Yes |
11,316 |
0.110 |
$1,244.72 |
$-1,035.99 |
-45.4% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
5,221 |
0.135 |
$704.79 |
$4.62 |
+0.7% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,920 |
0.250 |
$480.00 |
$-19.20 |
-3.8% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
Yes |
6,700 |
0.065 |
$435.50 |
$-227.49 |
-34.3% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? |
Yes |
6,909 |
0.060 |
$414.52 |
$-875.38 |
-67.9% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
Yes |
10,013 |
0.025 |
$245.32 |
$-204.62 |
-45.5% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? |
Yes |
429 |
0.105 |
$45.00 |
$-135.00 |
-75.0% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
Yes |
246 |
0.110 |
$27.05 |
$-122.57 |
-81.9% |