PnL (30d)

−$111

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$9

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-72.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

2%

3W / 123L · 13 open

Win Return (30d)

2%

3W / 136L

Trades (30d)

139

across 27 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

−$4.61

avg win $23 · loss $6

Profit Factor

0.17

$23 won / $133 lost

Reward / Risk

3.95

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$107

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	57.2% 17,291W/12,921L	3707	$342,693
₿ Crypto	72.9% 1,122W/418L	226	$21,707
⚽ Sports	48.8% 145W/152L	129	$4,675
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/98L	18	$126
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/98L	18	$126

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ALKA (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage	ALKA	1,919	0.170	$326.29	$26.60	+8.9%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	489	0.017	$8.32	$-5.27	-38.8%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	731	0.006	$4.75	$-0.67	-12.3%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	111	0.014	$1.56	$0.44	+40.0%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	17	0.080	$1.37	$0.34	+32.5%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	34	0.029	$0.98	$-0.05	-5.0%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	250	0.004	$0.88	$-1.62	-65.0%
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	522	0.002	$0.78	$-3.84	-83.1%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	36	0.007	$0.27	$-0.45	-62.5%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	332	0.001	$0.17	$-1.59	-90.6%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	272	0.001	$0.14	$-3.08	-95.8%