Chebupeli
0x4c193a64e9a2d268df867be709d90ae606632881
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$48
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$20
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+9.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
59%
13W / 9L · 74 open
Win Return (30d)
28%
26W / 68L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
96
across 26 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$4.75
avg win $17 · loss $4
Profit Factor
3.23
$69 won / $21 lost
Reward / Risk
4.85
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$13
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $48,795
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
667 |
0.006 |
$4.33 |
$0.33 |
+8.3% |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
625 |
0.003 |
$1.56 |
$-0.94 |
-37.5% |
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
803 |
0.002 |
$1.20 |
$-1.20 |
-50.0% |
| Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
333 |
0.002 |
$0.50 |
$-0.50 |
-50.0% |