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Trader leaderboard/How.Dare.You

How.Dare.You

0x4bbe10ba5b7f6df147c0dae17b46c44a6e562cf3
PnL (30d)
+$28,827
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1,152
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+21.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
89%
192W / 23L · 139 open
Win Return (30d)
89%
315W / 39L
Trades (30d)
354
across 22 markets · ~16 per market
EV / position
+$2,620.61
avg win $4,135 · loss $1,418
Profit Factor
7.78
$33,081 won / $4,254 lost
Reward / Risk
2.92
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $37,020,636

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 89.3% 192W/23L 22 $133,224
₿ Crypto 100.0% 2W/0L 1 $4,013
💵 Economy 100.0% 2W/0L 1 $4,013

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

15 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No 27,777 0.925 $25,693.61 $1,561.34 +6.5%
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No 24,050 0.935 $22,487.17 $5,182.63 +29.9%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No 24,443 0.915 $22,365.32 $766.68 +3.5%
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No 18,005 0.977 $17,581.77 $502.12 +2.9%
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No 17,566 0.905 $15,896.84 $2,545.36 +19.1%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? No 12,981 0.988 $12,824.74 $742.25 +6.1%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? No 11,077 0.964 $10,672.62 $1,013.80 +10.5%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No 9,704 0.805 $7,811.82 $1,046.53 +15.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No 7,973 0.855 $6,816.85 $1,229.98 +22.0%
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No 5,920 0.938 $5,549.99 $99.80 +1.8%
Trump meets with Putin by September 30? No 5,291 0.935 $4,946.92 $95.17 +2.0%
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No 4,383 0.920 $4,032.41 $224.10 +5.9%
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? No 39 0.925 $36.52 $6.12 +20.1%
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31? No 12 0.955 $11.77 $4.38 +59.2%
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? No 13 0.735 $9.42 $0.70 +8.1%