| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
No |
105 |
0.816 |
$85.63 |
$1.72 |
+2.1% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
100 |
0.715 |
$71.50 |
$12.50 |
+21.2% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? |
No |
100 |
0.500 |
$50.01 |
$-1.00 |
-2.0% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
99 |
0.460 |
$45.49 |
$-1.00 |
-2.1% |
| Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026? |
No |
43 |
0.939 |
$40.10 |
$-0.90 |
-2.2% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
Yes |
100 |
0.285 |
$28.49 |
$-11.54 |
-28.8% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
105 |
0.184 |
$19.37 |
$-1.51 |
-7.2% |
| Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B? |
Yes |
138 |
0.105 |
$14.51 |
$-13.31 |
-47.8% |
| Vanta IPO before 2027? |
Yes |
150 |
0.095 |
$14.25 |
$-6.75 |
-32.1% |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? |
No |
15 |
0.945 |
$13.76 |
$0.07 |
+0.5% |
| Ripple Labs IPO before 2027? |
Yes |
150 |
0.075 |
$11.25 |
$-9.70 |
-46.3% |
| Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.999 |
$9.98 |
$0.84 |
+9.2% |
| US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? |
Yes |
80 |
0.120 |
$9.55 |
$-5.57 |
-36.8% |
| Glean IPO before 2027? |
Yes |
100 |
0.085 |
$8.50 |
$-4.52 |
-34.7% |
| Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? |
No |
10 |
0.840 |
$8.32 |
$1.39 |
+20.0% |
| Ramp IPO before 2027? |
Yes |
90 |
0.085 |
$7.65 |
$-1.35 |
-15.0% |
| Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
6 |
0.973 |
$6.24 |
$0.06 |
+0.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
6 |
0.865 |
$5.36 |
$0.22 |
+4.2% |
| Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
5 |
0.997 |
$5.32 |
$0.30 |
+6.0% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? |
No |
6 |
0.941 |
$5.20 |
$0.26 |
+5.3% |
| Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
5 |
0.998 |
$4.99 |
$0.17 |
+3.5% |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
No |
5 |
0.995 |
$4.97 |
$1.19 |
+31.3% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027? |
No |
5 |
0.984 |
$4.92 |
$-0.00 |
-0.0% |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
No |
5 |
0.978 |
$4.89 |
$0.04 |
+0.9% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.977 |
$4.88 |
$0.10 |
+2.1% |