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Trader leaderboard/fm14

fm14

0x4b91aa7e2084de59ba1d966dd9799c306878982d
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$6
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
93%
28W / 2L
Trades (30d)
30
across 11 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
no settled positions
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $1,868,887

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 0.0% 0W/13L 19 $22
🏛 Politics 1 $1

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026? Yes 100 0.178 $17.85 $17.45 +4362.5%
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? Yes 100 0.114 $11.40 $6.80 +147.8%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No 100 0.110 $11.00 $7.00 +175.0%
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? Yes 100 0.085 $8.50 $-0.50 -5.6%
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes 100 0.084 $8.35 $1.35 +19.3%
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes 100 0.076 $7.65 $1.65 +27.5%
Will EUR/USD hit 1.05 (Low) in 2026? Yes 100 0.068 $6.75 $3.75 +125.0%
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes 160 0.037 $6.00 $-5.56 -48.1%
Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026? No 100 0.055 $5.50 $-0.50 -8.3%
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes 100 0.055 $5.50 $-2.50 -31.2%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? Yes 100 0.055 $5.50 $-3.50 -38.9%
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes 100 0.052 $5.20 $-2.26 -30.3%
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes 100 0.050 $5.00 $-1.00 -16.7%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? Yes 100 0.050 $4.95 $-3.05 -38.1%
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes 100 0.046 $4.60 $-2.70 -37.0%
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? Yes 100 0.045 $4.50 $-2.50 -35.7%
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 100 0.043 $4.25 $-2.75 -39.3%
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 100 0.037 $3.75 $0.45 +13.6%
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? Yes 100 0.036 $3.60 $-6.40 -64.0%
Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? Yes 84 0.043 $3.55 $1.04 +41.7%
Will Solana reach $300 by December 31, 2026? Yes 100 0.035 $3.54 $-1.46 -29.2%
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? Yes 100 0.035 $3.54 $-2.96 -45.5%
Will EUR/USD hit 1.00 (Low) in 2026? Yes 100 0.035 $3.54 $-0.56 -13.7%
Will BNB reach $1500 by December 31, 2026? Yes 79 0.044 $3.52 $-3.59 -50.6%
Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026? Yes 100 0.035 $3.50 $-3.20 -47.8%