cr9
0x4b518e1727c7b3b8ea16baa5bef3b0f3c3f0da79
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$8
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
—
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
50%
4W / 4L
Trades (30d)
8
across 3 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
—
no settled positions
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $700 · all-time $574,820
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2,897 |
0.070 |
$201.31 |
$-160.27 |
-44.3% |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? |
No |
400 |
0.440 |
$176.00 |
$45.00 |
+34.4% |
| Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.845 |
$169.00 |
$35.00 |
+26.1% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? |
No |
600 |
0.210 |
$126.00 |
$-40.00 |
-24.1% |
| Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? |
No |
200 |
0.445 |
$89.00 |
$-24.00 |
-21.2% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.085 |
$85.00 |
$-14.60 |
-14.7% |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.585 |
$58.49 |
$-9.50 |
-14.0% |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.770 |
$3.85 |
$0.15 |
+4.1% |