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Trader leaderboard/johnnath1222

johnnath1222

0x4b284723fa3c53a46d5217394840ec3b70c615df
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$492
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$27
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+18.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
75%
40W / 13L · 121 open
Win Return (30d)
64%
111W / 63L
Trades (30d)
174
across 43 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$30.77
avg win $52 · loss $16
Profit Factor
6.98
$575 won / $82 lost
Reward / Risk
3.17
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$37
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $6,307 · all-time $1,846,998

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 72.8% 193W/72L 103 $12,753
🏛 Politics 73.3% 11W/4L 16 $1,835
💵 Economy 3 $179
₿ Crypto 1 $54

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

71 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes 2,274 0.135 $307.02 $5.99 +2.0%
Will Russell Fry place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? Yes 996 0.290 $288.81 $81.56 +39.4%
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes 1,930 0.135 $260.51 $-17.87 -6.4%
Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%? Yes 357 0.710 $253.23 $44.36 +21.2%
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes 1,964 0.115 $225.90 $-0.03 -0.0%
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes 1,628 0.130 $211.63 $6.20 +3.0%
Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%? No 464 0.290 $134.41 $-105.08 -43.9%
Will Luke Bronin be the Democratic nominee for CT-01? Yes 177 0.735 $130.26 $6.20 +5.0%
Will Ty Masterson win the Kansas Republican Governor primary by 15–20%? Yes 183 0.480 $87.64 $72.77 +489.5%
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in September? Yes 463 0.165 $76.36 $40.24 +111.4%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No 100 0.745 $74.50 $21.50 +40.6%
Will Ty Masterson win the Kansas Republican Governor primary by 10–15%? Yes 158 0.470 $74.12 $56.77 +327.3%
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes 545 0.105 $57.22 $-6.01 -9.5%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 66 0.865 $57.09 $6.27 +12.3%
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Yes 291 0.157 $45.66 $25.30 +124.3%
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? No 2,000 0.018 $35.00 $-9.00 -20.5%
Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat? Yes 72 0.395 $28.59 $3.96 +16.1%
Will Ty Masterson win the Kansas Republican Governor primary by at least 25%? No 36 0.747 $27.18 $4.62 +20.5%
US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026? Yes 95 0.275 $26.12 $11.88 +83.3%
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? No 59 0.375 $22.12 $0.89 +4.2%
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31? Yes 227 0.095 $21.60 $-5.68 -20.8%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No 30 0.675 $20.25 $1.05 +5.5%
Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027? No 20 0.928 $18.57 $1.41 +8.2%
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No 18 0.970 $17.52 $0.42 +2.4%
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August? Yes 100 0.170 $16.92 $5.98 +54.6%